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This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.
Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 55 times out of 100. in our...
Poll Results Spread; 2024 National Multi-Candidate: Economist/YouGov: Harris 45, Trump 45, Kennedy, Stein 1, Oliver, West 1: Tie
- Washington Post. Who is ahead in Harris vs. Trump 2024 presidential polls right now? Updated September 26, 2024. By Lenny Bronner, Diane Napolitano, Kati Perry and Luis Melgar. What’s...
2024 election guide: Presidential candidates, polls, primaries and caucuses, voter information and results for November 5, 2024